Ayla Aksu vs Ana Sofia SanchezFigueira Da Foz

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER
#277WTA
1457ELO
1447Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWLLW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
hard
CAMPO 1 · 4th on
#273WTA
1387ELO
1350Hard ELO
32 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWWLW
Aksu A.
vs
Sanchez A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Aksu A.70%
Sanchez A.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Aksu A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+98 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1350
5.3Overall Elo 1457
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1386
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
9.0Last match 1h29m
Prev. match
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Aksu A.Stable
Sanchez A.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
47%
49%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Aksu A.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Sanchez A.

Sanchez A.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Aksu A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

When it starts

4th on CAMPO 1 · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Kulikova A. v Kobori M.
  2. 3Kinoshita H. v Hruncakova V.
  3. 4Aksu A. v Sanchez A.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.