Anastasia Kulikova vs Momoko KoboriFigueira Da Foz Qualifying Final

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#453WTA
1295ELO
1275Hard ELO
26 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWLWW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
hard
CAMPO 1 · 1st on
#333WTA
1366ELO
1347Hard ELO
27 yrs · 158 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWLWW
Kulikova A.
vs
Kobori M.

Anastasia Kulikova faces Momoko Kobori in the Figueira Da Foz qualifying final on hard. Momoko Kobori holds the paper edge — ranked #333, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Kulikova A.22%
Kobori M.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kobori M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1275
Surface ELO
5.9+72 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1295
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1366
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kobori M.Surging

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

14 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
0.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kulikova A.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kobori M.

Kobori M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kulikova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Kobori M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on CAMPO 1 · not before Starting at 10:00 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Kulikova A. v Kobori M.This match
  2. 3Kinoshita H. v Hruncakova V.
  3. 4Aksu A. v Sanchez A.

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.