Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz BasilashviliHalle Qualifying Final

Halle · ATP · Qualifying Final
#66ATP
1726ELO
1654Grass ELO
$273kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLLWLW
Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
#118ATP
1691ELO
1633Grass ELO
$272kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWWWLW

Lorenzo Sonego faces Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Halle qualifying final on grass. Lorenzo Sonego holds the paper edge — ranked #66, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC
Sonego L.59%
Basilashvili N.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sonego L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+21 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1633
5.4Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1691
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
6.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.1Won 68% in DEU (41)
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.24
SlowFast
Weather forecast
14°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassLorenzo Sonego6-1 6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(4)
2021-09-27San DiegoR32hardLorenzo Sonego6-3 6-4
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR32hardNikoloz Basilashvili6-4 3-6 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersR64clayLorenzo Sonego6-3 6-1

Statistics

Recent form
66%1st serve in+14%52%
72%1st serve points won+5%77%
51%2nd serve points won+1%50%
65%Service points won+1%64%
37%Return points won37%
65%Break points saved+4%61%
5.9Aces / match+0.36.2
1.6Double faults / match+2.74.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.