Perricard vs Bublik — Stuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Quarter-final

FRA

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

#93ATP

1722ELO

1643Grass ELO

$348kYTD

$3.3MCAREER

22 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLWWLWW

—

Sets

Friday, 12 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

KAZ

Alexander Bublik

#11ATP

1920ELO

1829Grass ELO

$1.1MYTD

$12MCAREER

28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWWLWLLL

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard faces Alexander Bublik in the Stuttgart quarter-final on grass. They have met 3 times, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard leading 2–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Key context

Head-to-head: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard leads the head-to-head 2–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Hamburg 2025.
Stage: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard defends last year's round of 16.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:20 UTC

Mpetshi Perricard G.26%

Bublik A.74%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bublik A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Mpetshi Perricard G.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Bublik A.

7.3

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.7Grass Elo 1643

Surface ELO

7.3+186 Grass Elo edge

2.5Overall Elo 1722

ELO gap

7.5Overall Elo 1920

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

5.25 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.08 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

15°CRain

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

2–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-05-18	Hamburg	R32	clay	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	7-6(6) 6-4
2024-05-20	Lyon	SF	clay	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	6-4 7-5
2023-10-16	Antwerp	QF	hard	Alexander Bublik	6-4 4-6 6-2

View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form

Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.

71%1st serve in+7%64%

78%1st serve points won+3%75%

50%2nd serve points won+2%52%

70%Service points won+3%67%

28%Return points won+6%34%

61%Break points saved+4%65%

15.8Aces / match+69.8

3.3Double faults / match+0.13.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik — Stuttgart Quarter-final