Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander BublikHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 32
#83ATP
1738ELO
1673Clay ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7862
Bublik A.
6640

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 6-4 in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-12StuttgartQFgrassAlexander Bublik6.5-7.7 6.3-7.7
2024-05-20LyonSFclayGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard6-4 7-5
2023-10-16AntwerpQFhardAlexander Bublik6-4 4-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mpetshi Perricard G.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.
Serve
55
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
70%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
27%
35%
Break points saved·Even
67%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
14.0
10.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
88
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
67
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1673
Surface ELO
7.6+150 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1738
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1889
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.9
Surface form
8.4
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.2
Minutes 14d
3.6
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
70

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%