Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander BublikLyon Semi-final

Lyon · ATP · Semi-final
#83ATP
1738ELO
1673Clay ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 May 2024
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-4 7-5
Bublik A.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
672
Bublik A.
450

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 7-5 in the Lyon semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-12StuttgartQFgrassAlexander Bublik6.5-7.7 6.3-7.7
2025-05-18HamburgR32clayGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard7-6(6) 6-4
2023-10-16AntwerpQFhardAlexander Bublik6-4 4-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mpetshi Perricard G.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.
Serve
55
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.3
11.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
88
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
67
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1673
Surface ELO
7.6+150 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1738
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
66

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast