Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Round of 16

ROU

Elena Gabriela Ruse

#88WTA

1786ELO

1686Grass ELO

28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

BEL

Elise Mertens

#22WTA

1917ELO

1767Grass ELO

$1.4MYTD

$19MCAREER

30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Elena Gabriela Ruse faces Elise Mertens in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Elise Mertens holds the paper edge — ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending the title.

Key context

Last match: Elise Mertens dropped just 3 games past Bianca Andreescu.
Last match: Elena Gabriela Ruse edged Tamara Korpatsch in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Head-to-head: Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 3–0, 0–1 on grass. Last met at s Hertogenbosch 2025.
Stage: Elena Gabriela Ruse defends last year's final; Elise Mertens defends the title here.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC

Ruse E.29%

Mertens E.71%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mertens E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ruse E.

6.6

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Mertens E.

7.4

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.0Grass Elo 1686

Surface ELO

6.0+81 Grass Elo edge

3.7Overall Elo 1786

ELO gap

6.3Overall Elo 1917

3.0Trails 0–1 on grass

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on grass

7.78 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.78 of last 10 on grass

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

15°COvercast

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

0–3

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-06-09	s Hertogenbosch	F	grass	Elise Mertens	6-3 7-6(4)
2023-02-27	Monterrey	R16	hard	Elise Mertens	6-3 3-6 6-2
2022-05-23	Roland Garros	R128	clay	Elise Mertens	6-3 6-1