Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto — San Miguel De Tucuman Round of 32
San Miguel De Tucuman · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ARG#385ATP
1157ELO
1149Clay ELO
20 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
CANCHA CENTRAL · 4th on
Juan Estevez dropped just six games in a straight-sets win over Matias Soto in the San Miguel De Tucuman round of 32.
Key context
- Set 2, game 3: Juan Estevez broke serve.
- Pressure points: Juan Estevez converted 5 of 8 break points; Matias Soto converted 2 of 7 break points.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTCEstevez J.28%
Soto M.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Soto M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
1.0Clay Elo 1148
Surface ELO9.0+319 Clay Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1157
ELO gap8.9Overall Elo 1472
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.43 of last 10 on clay
Surface form6.97 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streakFatigue & Travel
7.0Home country
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Estevez J.
662
Soto M.
420
Conditions
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 80%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form63%1st serve in+8%55%
65%1st serve points won+6%71%
48%2nd serve points won+1%49%
59%Service points won+2%61%
45%Return points won+5%40%
55%Break points saved+2%57%
1.1Aces / match+3.54.6
2.7Double faults / match+1.13.8
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Estevez J.
Soto M.
6-46-2
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