Guido Ivan Justo vs Joaquin Aguilar CardozoSan Miguel De Tucuman Round of 32

San Miguel De Tucuman · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#254ATP
1423ELO
1415Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
CANCHA CENTRAL · 2nd on
#589ATP
1243ELO
1255Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLL

Guido Ivan Justo dropped just five games in a straight-sets win over Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo in the San Miguel De Tucuman round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: Guido Ivan Justo broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 4: Guido Ivan Justo broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Guido Ivan Justo converted 3 of 6 break points; Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo converted 0 of 0 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Justo G.65%
Aguilar Cardozo J.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Justo G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+160 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1255
7.2Overall Elo 1423
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1243
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Home country
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Justo G.
662
Aguilar Cardozo J.
230

Conditions

Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 78%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
68%1st serve in+6%62%
62%1st serve points won+3%65%
50%2nd serve points won+1%49%
58%Service points won+1%59%
44%Return points won+1%45%
57%Break points saved+2%59%
0.9Aces / match0.9
1.4Double faults / match+12.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.