Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Niels Visker — s Hertogenbosch Qualifying Semi-final

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
USA
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#125ATP
1636ELO
1574Grass ELO
$202kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 2nd on
NEDALT
Niels Visker
#474ATP
1362ELO
1381Grass ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL

Niels Visker broke serve in the second set to take control and defeat Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-6 7-5 in the s Hertogenbosch qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 3: Niels Visker saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Mackenzie Mcdonald converted 1 of 7 break points; Niels Visker converted 2 of 3 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:20 UTC
Mcdonald M.86%
Visker N.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mcdonald M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mcdonald M.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Visker N.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.4+193 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Grass Elo 1381
8.4Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1362
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.25 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Mcdonald M.
6750
Visker N.
7972

Conditions

Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Mcdonald M.Visker N.
64%1st serve in+4%60%
64%1st serve points won+16%80%
54%2nd serve points won+1%55%
60%Service points won+10%70%
36%Return points won+4%32%
57%Break points saved+17%74%
3.5Aces / match+7.210.7
1.9Double faults / match+12.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying