Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Qualifying Final

FRAQ

Benjamin Bonzi

#99ATP

1733ELO

1635Grass ELO

$263kYTD

$4.4MCAREER

30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLLLWWLWW

2 — 1

Sets

Sunday, 7 June 2026 · 14:05

grass

COURT 2 · 2nd on

AUS

Bernard Tomic

#188ATP

1492ELO

1520Grass ELO

$70kYTD

$6.7MCAREER

33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLWWLWLWL

Benjamin Bonzi fought back from a set down to beat Bernard Tomic 6-7 6-2 7-5 in the s Hertogenbosch qualifying final.

Key context

Set 1, game 10: Bernard Tomic saved four break points to hold serve.
Set 3, game 3: Benjamin Bonzi broke serve.
Pressure points: Benjamin Bonzi converted 6 of 14 break points; Bernard Tomic converted 3 of 9 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTC

Bonzi B.84%

Tomic B.16%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bonzi B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bonzi B.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tomic B.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.4+115 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.6Grass Elo 1520

8.0Overall Elo 1732

ELO gap

2.0Overall Elo 1492

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.06 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.18 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bonzi B.

6⁵672

Tomic B.

7⁷251