Niels Visker vs Elias Ymers Hertogenbosch Qualifying Final

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Qualifying Final
#469ATP
1362ELO
1381Grass ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#191ATP
1570ELO
1519Grass ELO
$145kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL

Elias Ymer broke serve in the first set to take control and defeat Niels Visker 6-4 7-6 in the s Hertogenbosch qualifying final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Niels Visker converted 1 of 5 break points; Elias Ymer converted 2 of 4 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC
Visker N.21%
Ymer E.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ymer E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Grass Elo 1381
Surface ELO
6.7+138 Grass Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1362
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1570
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Visker N.
4630
Ymer E.
6772

Conditions

Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
60%1st serve in+1%61%
80%1st serve points won+7%73%
55%2nd serve points won+4%51%
70%Service points won+6%64%
32%Return points won+3%35%
74%Break points saved+11%63%
10.7Aces / match+5.45.3
2.9Double faults / match+0.62.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.