Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova — Birmingham Semi-final

Birmingham · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
PHI
Alexandra Eala
#37WTA
1839ELO
1720Grass ELO
$634kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
ESPQ
Rebeka Masarova
#132WTA
1751ELO
1633Grass ELO
26 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWW

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Alexandra Eala got past Rebeka Masarova 6-2 4-6 6-3 in the Birmingham semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 2: Rebeka Masarova saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Alexandra Eala converted 4 of 13 break points; Rebeka Masarova converted 2 of 4 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC
Eala A.65%
Masarova R.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Eala A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Eala A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Masarova R.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.1+88 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Grass Elo 1633
5.6Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1750
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Eala A.
6462
Masarova R.
2631

Conditions

Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Eala A.Masarova R.
64%1st serve in+3%61%
61%1st serve points won+10%71%
49%2nd serve points won+4%45%
57%Service points won+4%61%
43%Return points won+1%42%
48%Break points saved+9%57%
0.9Aces / match+4.15
2.3Double faults / match+2.14.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Eala A.
Hon P.
6-06-2
Minnen G.
Charaeva A.
3-61-6
Sawangkaew M.
Klimovicova L.
6-47-5
Day K.
Vandewinkel H.
7-626-2
Maria T.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-1
Masarova R.
Martincova T.
6-766-16-1
Naef C.
Inglis M.
6-26-3
Stoiana M.
Sun L.
4-67-686-2
Bartunkova N.
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Knutson G.
Garland J.
7-666-3
Stojsavljevic M.
Jones E.
3-66-17-5
Kalieva E.
Gibson T.
7-52-66-4
Tomljanovic A.
Swan K.
6-742-3
Preston T.
Dudeney A.
6-46-746-3
Krueger A.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-3
Hibino N.
Tjen J.
4-66-32-6
Eala A.
Charaeva A.
6-27-5
Sawangkaew M.
Day K.
6-46-1
Maria T.
Masarova R.
4-63-6
Naef C.
Stoiana M.
5-76-26-75
Bartunkova N.
Knutson G.
6-47-64
Stojsavljevic M.
Kalieva E.
6-46-726-2
Swan K.
Preston T.
4-62-6
Krueger A.
Tjen J.
6-16-3
Eala A.
Sawangkaew M.
6-36-2
Masarova R.
Stoiana M.
6-43-66-0
Bartunkova N.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-46-787-64
Preston T.
Krueger A.
6-23-64-6
Eala A.
Masarova R.
6-24-66-3
Bartunkova N.
Krueger A.
6-47-67
Eala A.
Bartunkova N.
5-76-37-5