Talia Gibson vs Alina Charaeva

London · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final

AUS

Talia Gibson

#63WTA

1774ELO

1629Grass ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWWWWLLL

0 — 2

Sets

Sunday, 7 June 2026 · 10:40

grass

COURT 2 · 1st on

RUS

Alina Charaeva

#129WTA

1712ELO

1538Grass ELO

24 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLLWWWWL

Alina Charaeva reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-2 7-6 win over Talia Gibson in the London qualifying semi-final.

Key context

Set 1, game 2: A 21-point game with eight deuces went Alina Charaeva's way.
Set 2, game 1: Alina Charaeva broke serve.
Pressure points: Talia Gibson converted 1 of 10 break points; Alina Charaeva converted 3 of 4 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC

Gibson T.67%

Charaeva A.33%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gibson T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Gibson T.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Charaeva A.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

6.1+91 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.9Grass Elo 1538

5.4Overall Elo 1774

ELO gap

4.6Overall Elo 1712

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.86 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Gibson T.

26⁶0

Charaeva A.

67⁸2