Tatjana Maria vs Kamilla Rakhimova — London Qualifying Final

London · WTA · Qualifying Final

GERQ

Tatjana Maria

#52WTA

1617ELO

1620Grass ELO

38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWLLWLLWW

2 — 0

Sets

Sunday, 7 June 2026 · 18:15

grass

UZB

Kamilla Rakhimova

#78WTA

1702ELO

1620Grass ELO

24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWLLLWLWL

Tatjana Maria reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-4 6-3 win over Kamilla Rakhimova in the London qualifying final.

Key context

Set 2, game 1: Tatjana Maria broke serve.
Set 2, game 3: A 13-point game with four deuces went Tatjana Maria's way.
Pressure points: Tatjana Maria converted 5 of 11 break points; Kamilla Rakhimova converted 1 of 1 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC

Maria T.32%

Rakhimova K.68%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rakhimova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Maria T.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Rakhimova K.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

5.0+1 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

5.0Grass Elo 1620

3.8Overall Elo 1617

ELO gap

6.2Overall Elo 1702

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.16 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.88 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Maria T.

662

Rakhimova K.

430