Alina Charaeva vs Polina KudermetovaLondon Qualifying Final

London · WTA · Qualifying Final
#129WTA
1712ELO
1538Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 4th on
#121WTA
1708ELO
1542Grass ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWWLW

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Polina Kudermetova got past Alina Charaeva 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the London qualifying final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Alina Charaeva converted 4 of 7 break points; Polina Kudermetova converted 5 of 11 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Charaeva A.51%
Kudermetova P.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1538
Surface ELO
5.0+4 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1712
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1708
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
3.13 of last 8 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Charaeva A.
3641
Kudermetova P.
6462

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
57%1st serve in+3%60%
69%1st serve points won+7%62%
46%2nd serve points won46%
59%Service points won+3%56%
44%Return points won+6%50%
62%Break points saved+8%54%
2.7Aces / match+0.32.4
5Double faults / match+0.74.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.