Hanne Vandewinkel vs Mona Barthel

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final

BELQ

Hanne Vandewinkel

#99WTA

1698ELO

1513Grass ELO

22 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLLLLWWLL

2 — 0

Sets

Saturday, 6 June 2026 · 13:00

grass

COURT 3 · 2nd on

GER

Mona Barthel

#188WTA

1566ELO

1413Grass ELO

35 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWLWWWWL

Hanne Vandewinkel won five games in a row to see off Mona Barthel 6-3 6-3 in the s Hertogenbosch qualifying semi-final.

Key context

Set 1, game 3: Hanne Vandewinkel broke serve.
Set 2, game 2: Hanne Vandewinkel broke serve.
Pressure points: Hanne Vandewinkel converted 5 of 8 break points; Mona Barthel converted 2 of 6 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC

Vandewinkel H.80%

Barthel M.20%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Vandewinkel H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Vandewinkel H.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Barthel M.

4.3

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

6.3+100 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Grass Elo 1412

5.9Overall Elo 1698

ELO gap

4.1Overall Elo 1566

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

Surface form

0.00 of last 10 on grass

0.0Lost last 4

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Vandewinkel H.

662

Barthel M.

330