Ella Seidel vs Greet Minnen — s Hertogenbosch F

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Qualifying Final

GER

Ella Seidel

#95WTA

1637ELO

1540Grass ELO

21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLLWWWWLL

1 — 2

Sets

Sunday, 7 June 2026 · 11:10

grass

COURT 3 · 1st on

BELQ

Greet Minnen

#202WTA

1695ELO

1655Grass ELO

28 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWLWWLL

Greet Minnen reeled off six straight games on the way to a 6-1 2-6 6-0 win over Ella Seidel in the s Hertogenbosch qualifying final.

Key context

Set 2, game 3: A 15-point game with five deuces went Greet Minnen's way.
Set 3, game 1: Greet Minnen broke serve.
Pressure points: Ella Seidel converted 4 of 5 break points; Greet Minnen converted 7 of 11 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC

Seidel E.37%

Minnen G.63%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Minnen G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Seidel E.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Minnen G.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

3.6Grass Elo 1540

Surface ELO

6.4+114 Grass Elo edge

4.5Overall Elo 1637

ELO gap

5.6Overall Elo 1695

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.56 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.17 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Seidel E.

1601

Minnen G.

6262