Ella Seidel vs Claire Liu — s Hertogenbosch Qualifying Semi-final

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
GER
Ella Seidel
#95WTA
1637ELO
1540Grass ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 3 · 1st on
USA
Claire Liu
#148WTA
1645ELO
1516Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW

Ella Seidel broke serve in the first set to take control and defeat Claire Liu 7-6 6-3 in the s Hertogenbosch qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Ella Seidel converted 5 of 11 break points; Claire Liu converted 4 of 5 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC
Seidel E.50%
Liu C.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Seidel E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Liu C.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.3+25 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1516
4.8Overall Elo 1637
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1645
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.15 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Seidel E.
7762
Liu C.
6530

Conditions

Weather
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20GuangzhouQFhardClaire Liu4-6 6-0 6-4

Statistics

Recent form
Seidel E.Liu C.
58%1st serve in+11%69%
65%1st serve points won+6%59%
43%2nd serve points won+2%45%
56%Service points won+2%54%
44%Return points won+5%49%
52%Break points saved+1%53%
2.5Aces / match+0.61.9
5.2Double faults / match+2.62.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying