Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroParma Semi-final

Parma · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#67WTA
1792ELO
1731Clay ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 16 May 2026 ·
clay
#52WTA
1721ELO
1677Clay ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
Yastremska D.
7-6 6-7 7-6
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.
7764772
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6577651

Dayana Yastremska defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 7-6 6-7 7-6 in the Parma semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Bouzas Maneiro came in ranked #52, leading the head-to-head 3–0, but Dayana Yastremska had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Dayana Yastremska claimed a first win over Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-01WimbledonR64grassJessica Bouzas Maneiro3-6 7.7-6.1 2-6
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardJessica Bouzas Maneiro7-5 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassJessica Bouzas Maneiro6-1 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Yastremska D.Bouzas Maneiro J.
10
Serve
24
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
53
Break points saved·Dominant
89
53
Break points won·Even
92
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+54 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1677
5.9Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1721
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
6.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
90

Yastremska D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast