Barbora Krejcikova vs Dayana YastremskaParma Final

Parma · CHALLENGER · Final
#38WTA
1874ELO
1718Clay ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 16 May 2026 ·
clay
#67WTA
1792ELO
1731Clay ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Krejcikova B.
3-6 3-6
Yastremska D.
Krejcikova B.
330
Yastremska D.
662

Dayana Yastremska defeated Barbora Krejcikova 6-3 6-3 in the Parma final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Barbora Krejcikova came in ranked #38, leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Dayana Yastremska had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Dayana Yastremska narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR64hardBarbora Krejcikova6-1 6-2
2022-02-14DubaiR16hardDayana Yastremska6-3 7-6(3)
2021-08-16CincinnatiR32hardBarbora Krejcikova6-1 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Krejcikova B.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Krejcikova B.Yastremska D.
Serve
10
Return
24

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
72%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
77
Break points saved·Even
93
89
Break points won·Even
92
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
5.4+13 Clay Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1792
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
7.3
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
89

Krejcikova B.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Yastremska D.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast