Madison Keys vs Peyton StearnsRome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 8 May 2026 ·
clay
#63WTA
1804ELO
1756Clay ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Keys M.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Stearns P.
Keys M.
4662
Stearns P.
6421

Madison Keys defeated Peyton Stearns 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 32. Madison Keys claimed a first win over Peyton Stearns in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR32clayPeyton Stearns2-6 6-2 7-6(3)
2024-08-05TorontoR32hardPeyton Stearns3-6 7-5 3-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
53%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Slight edge
90
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
51
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+138 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1756
7.0Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1804
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.7
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
97

Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Stearns P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final