Peyton Stearns vs Madison Keys — Toronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
Peyton Stearns
USA
Peyton Stearns
#60WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
Madison Keys
USA7
Madison Keys
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Stearns P.
3-6 7-5 3-0
Keys M.
Stearns P.
373–
Keys M.
650–

Peyton Stearns advanced when Madison Keys retired 3-6 7-5 3-0 in the Toronto round of 32. Peyton Stearns extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayMadison Keys4-6 6-4 6-2
2025-05-06RomeR32clayPeyton Stearns2-6 6-2 7-6(3)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Stearns P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stearns P.Keys M.
34
Serve
36
37
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Stearns P.Keys M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stearns P.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Slight edge
98
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stearns P.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Keys M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1755
Surface ELO
6.9+165 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stearns P.Keys M.
Freshness·Clear edge
97
84

Stearns P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw

Final
Pegula J.[3]
Anisimova A.
6-32-66-1
Semi-finals
Pegula J.[3]
Shnaider D.[14]
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Navarro E.[8]
6-32-66-2
Quarter-finals
Shnaider D.[14]
Samsonova L.[6]
4-66-16-4
Pegula J.[3]
Stearns P.
6-47-5
Navarro E.[8]
Townsend T.
6-37-65
Anisimova A.
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-46-2
R16
Stearns P.
Azarenka V.[12]
6-44-2
Anisimova A.
Kalinskaya A.[10]
6-20-0
Pegula J.[3]
Krueger A.
6-26-4
Townsend T.
Ostapenko J.[4]
6-26-1
Navarro E.[8]
Kostyuk M.[11]
7-57-5
Shnaider D.[14]
Gauff C.[1]
6-46-1
Samsonova L.[6]
Mertens E.
6-26-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Boulter K.
6-36-3
R32
Boulter K.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
1-1
Navarro E.[8]
Linette M.
6-26-4
Townsend T.
Stakusic M.
6-06-2
Ostapenko J.[4]
Badosa P.
3-67-636-2
Anisimova A.
Kasatkina D.[5]
6-46-3
Kostyuk M.[11]
Svitolina E.
6-22-66-2
Stearns P.
Keys M.[7]
3-67-53-0
Gauff C.[1]
Wang Y.
6-46-4
Mertens E.
Osaka N.
6-36-4
Samsonova L.[6]
Uchijima M.
6-46-2
Krueger A.
Fernandez L.[15]
6-46-2
Azarenka V.[12]
Minnen G.
3-67-56-1
Pegula J.[3]
Pliskova K.
7-56-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Yuan Y.
6-26-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Tsurenko L.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.[14]
Frech M.
2-66-37-65
R64
Townsend T.
Yastremska D.[16]
6-33-1
Wang Y.
Kenin S.
7-57-63
Shnaider D.[14]
Dart H.
6-33-67-62
Badosa P.
Tauson C.
6-16-4
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Chirico L.
6-26-3
Stakusic M.
Andreeva E.
6-756-16-4
Frech M.
Potapova A.
4-66-36-0
Mertens E.
Volynets K.
6-36-1
Pliskova K.
Podoroska N.
6-47-610
Stearns P.
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Tsurenko L.
Andreescu B.
0-66-36-4
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Bouzkova M.
5-76-27-61
Boulter K.
Pera B.
6-43-66-1
Yuan Y.
Bucsa C.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Jabeur O.[9]
6-36-1
Azarenka V.[12]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-2
Uchijima M.
Tomova V.
7-646-2
Svitolina E.
Rogers S.
6-06-2
Krueger A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Kostyuk M.[11]
Maria T.
6-06-2
Anisimova A.
Dolehide C.
6-16-4
Fernandez L.[15]
Hibino N.
6-35-76-1
Minnen G.
Stephens S.
6-26-2
Linette M.
Marino R.
6-36-4