Roberto Carballes Baena vs Sebastian OfnerMurcia CH Quarter-final

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#163ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 March 2026
clay
#110ATP
1713ELO
1680Clay ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Carballes Baena R.
7-6 2-6 6-1
Ofner S.
Carballes Baena R.
77262
Ofner S.
64611

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Sebastian Ofner 7-6 2-6 6-1 in the Murcia CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Ofner came in ranked #110, defending last year's round of 32. Roberto Carballes Baena extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR128claySebastian Ofner6-3 0-0 RET
2024-01-08AucklandR16hardRoberto Carballes Baena7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
7.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
70
Break points saved·Even
93
93
Break points won·Clear edge
58
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1612
Surface ELO
5.8+68 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1713
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.9
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
10.015-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
4.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
73

Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest · Ofner S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast