Roberto Carballes Baena vs Sebastian OfnerAuckland Round of 16

Auckland · ATP · Round of 16
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#110ATP
1713ELO
1655Hard ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Carballes Baena R.
7-5 6-3
Ofner S.
Carballes Baena R.
762
Ofner S.
530

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Sebastian Ofner 7-5 6-3 in the Auckland round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Ofner came in ranked #110, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Roberto Carballes Baena claimed a first win over Sebastian Ofner in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR128claySebastian Ofner6-3 0-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
7.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 112). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
70
Break points saved·Even
93
93
Break points won·Clear edge
58
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1713
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
73

Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest · Ofner S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 71%