Pablo Carreno Busta vs Roberto Carballes BaenaMurcia CH Final

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 March 2026
clay
#163ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 6-3
Carballes Baena R.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Carballes Baena R.
430

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-3 in the Murcia CH final on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, defending last year's round of 32. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamQ1hardRoberto Carballes Baena6-4 3-6 6-1
2024-06-24MallorcaR32grassRoberto Carballes Baena7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(3)
2016-02-22Sao PauloQFclayPablo Carreno Busta6-0 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
61
Break points saved·Even
97
93
Break points won·Even
61
58
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+155 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1612
6.7Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1632
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast