Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Carreno BustaMallorca Round of 32

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 32
#163ATP
1632ELO
1506Grass ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 June 2024
grass
#71ATP
1801ELO
1598Grass ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Carballes Baena R.
7-6 4-6 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Carballes Baena R.
774772
Carreno Busta P.
646631

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 4-6 7-6 in the Mallorca round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71. Roberto Carballes Baena extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamQ1hardRoberto Carballes Baena6-4 3-6 6-1
2016-02-22Sao PauloQFclayPablo Carreno Busta6-0 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 115). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
78
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Even
58
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1506
Surface ELO
5.9+92 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest · Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast