Sebastian Korda vs Frances TiafoeDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Korda S.
7-5 6-1
Tiafoe F.
Korda S.
762
Tiafoe F.
510

Sebastian Korda defeated Frances Tiafoe 7-5 6-1 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 16. Sebastian Korda narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Korda came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayFrances Tiafoe7-6(6) 6-3 6-4
2024-07-29WashingtonSFhardSebastian Korda6-4 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR16grassSebastian Korda7-6(2) 6-3
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersR32hardSebastian Korda4-6 6-1 6-4
2022-04-25EstorilSFclayFrances Tiafoe4-6 7-6(2) 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-0 6-4
2018-02-12New YorkR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Tiafoe F.
61
Serve
38
58
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.2
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
83
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
73
57
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Even
94
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
4.6+96 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1918
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.1
Surface form
3.9
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
68

Tiafoe F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast