Frances Tiafoe vs Sebastian Korda — Estoril Semi-final

Estoril · ATP · Semi-final
Frances Tiafoe
USA5
Frances Tiafoe
#19ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 April 2022
clay
Sebastian Korda
USA8
Sebastian Korda
#63ATP
1809ELO
1670Clay ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Tiafoe F.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Korda S.
Tiafoe F.
47762
Korda S.
66241

Frances Tiafoe defeated Sebastian Korda 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Estoril semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, defending last year's round of 32. Frances Tiafoe narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasR16hardSebastian Korda7-5 6-1
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayFrances Tiafoe7-6(6) 6-3 6-4
2024-07-29WashingtonSFhardSebastian Korda6-4 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR16grassSebastian Korda7-6(2) 6-3
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersR32hardSebastian Korda4-6 6-1 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-0 6-4
2018-02-12New YorkR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Tiafoe F.Korda S.
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Even
8.0
8.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tiafoe F.Korda S.
Clutch Rating·Even
83
87
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
57
73
Deciding sets·Even
92
96
Tiebreaks·Even
98
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tiafoe F.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Korda S.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+158 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1670
4.5Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1809
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
6.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tiafoe F.Korda S.
Freshness·
72
—

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Baez S.
Tiafoe F.[5]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Tiafoe F.[5]
Korda S.[8]
4-67-626-4
Baez S.
Ramos A.[6]
6-36-776-0
Quarter-finals
Baez S.
Gasquet R.
3-66-16-4
Korda S.[8]
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
6-26-2
Ramos A.[6]
Verdasco F.
6-26-2
Tiafoe F.[5]
Davidovich Fokina A.[4]
7-655-77-5
R16
Davidovich Fokina A.[4]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-37-65
Baez S.
Cilic M.[3]
1-66-16-4
Gasquet R.
Dellien H.
7-656-2
Korda S.[8]
Bonzi B.
6-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
Taberner C.
1-66-26-2
Tiafoe F.[5]
Borges N.
7-644-66-0
Ramos A.[6]
Kwon S.
5-76-16-2
Verdasco F.
Cuevas P.
6-26-3
R32
Borges N.
Andujar P.
6-43-0
Baez S.
Sousa J.
6-16-3
Zapata Miralles B.
Coria F.
6-46-3
Taberner C.
Harris L.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.
Paul T.[7]
7-56-2
Bonzi B.
Thiem D.
6-37-69
Korda S.[8]
Herbert P.
6-26-4
Tiafoe F.[5]
Lajovic D.
2-67-56-0
Dellien H.
Vesely J.
6-36-3
Ramos A.[6]
Thompson J.
6-43-66-4
Kwon S.
Paire B.
6-47-5
Cuevas P.
Carballes Baena R.
6-33-67-64