Sebastian Korda vs Frances TiafoeCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Korda S.
4-6 6-1 6-4
Tiafoe F.
Korda S.
4662
Tiafoe F.
6141

Sebastian Korda defeated Frances Tiafoe 4-6 6-1 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 32, but Sebastian Korda had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Sebastian Korda narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasR16hardSebastian Korda7-5 6-1
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayFrances Tiafoe7-6(6) 6-3 6-4
2024-07-29WashingtonSFhardSebastian Korda6-4 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR16grassSebastian Korda7-6(2) 6-3
2022-04-25EstorilSFclayFrances Tiafoe4-6 7-6(2) 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-0 6-4
2018-02-12New YorkR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Tiafoe F.
61
Serve
38
58
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Even
8.1
8.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
83
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
73
57
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Even
94
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
4.6+96 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1918
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.2
Surface form
5.8
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
3.5
4.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.3
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%