Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDallas Quarter-final

Dallas · ATP · Quarter-final
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Shapovalov D.
5-7 6-4 6-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shapovalov D.
5662
Davidovich Fokina A.
7431

Denis Shapovalov defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 5-7 6-4 6-3 in the Dallas quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, defending last year's round of 16. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AcapulcoSFhardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(3) 7-6(1)
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR64hardDenis Shapovalov4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Davidovich Fokina A.
25
Serve
40
70
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
71
95
Deciding sets·Even
92
91
Tiebreaks·Even
84
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
5.6+67 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1893
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
75

Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast