Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Shapovalov D.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shapovalov D.
4662
Davidovich Fokina A.
6421

Denis Shapovalov defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, defending last year's round of 64. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasQFhardDenis Shapovalov5-7 6-4 6-3
2025-02-24AcapulcoSFhardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(3) 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Davidovich Fokina A.
25
Serve
40
70
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.2
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
71
95
Deciding sets·Even
92
91
Tiebreaks·Even
84
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
5.6+67 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1893
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
3.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.9
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
70

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%