Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Denis ShapovalovAcapulco Semi-final

Acapulco · ATP · Semi-final
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-6 7-6
Shapovalov D.
Davidovich Fokina A.
77772
Shapovalov D.
63610

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-6 7-6 in the Acapulco semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina claimed a first win over Denis Shapovalov in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasQFhardDenis Shapovalov5-7 6-4 6-3
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR64hardDenis Shapovalov4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Shapovalov D.
40
Serve
25
53
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
85
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
95
71
Deciding sets·Even
91
92
Tiebreaks·Even
85
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+67 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1775
6.0Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1771
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.8
Surface form
7.9
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
98

Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%