Alexander Bublik vs Hubert HurkaczRotterdam Round of 32

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 32
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Bublik A.
6-7 7-6 7-5
Hurkacz H.
Bublik A.
627772
Hurkacz H.
776151

Alexander Bublik defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-7 7-6 7-5 in the Rotterdam round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-07Canada MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-6(2)
2023-02-20MarseilleSFhardHubert Hurkacz6-4 7-6(4)
2023-01-02United CupRRhardHubert Hurkacz7-6(8) 4-6 6-3
2022-10-03AstanaR16hardHubert Hurkacz6-4 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-1
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4 6-2
2020-02-24DubaiR32hardAlexander Bublik6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Hurkacz H.
65
Serve
67
25
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.6
11.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
67
40
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1727
6.3Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1798
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.6
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
66
68

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 97%