Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander BublikMarseille Semi-final

Marseille · ATP · Semi-final
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Hurkacz H.
6-4 7-6
Bublik A.
Hurkacz H.
6772
Bublik A.
4640

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 7-6 in the Marseille semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamR32hardAlexander Bublik6-7(2) 7-6(1) 7-5
2023-08-07Canada MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-6(2)
2023-01-02United CupRRhardHubert Hurkacz7-6(8) 4-6 6-3
2022-10-03AstanaR16hardHubert Hurkacz6-4 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-1
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4 6-2
2020-02-24DubaiR32hardAlexander Bublik6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Bublik A.
67
Serve
65
0
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
13.6
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
40
67
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
6.5+110 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1889
8.1
H2H
1.9
5.7
Surface form
1.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 10
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.0
Country comfort
5.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
74

Hurkacz H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
13°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 83%