Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander BublikAstana Round of 16

Astana · ATP · Round of 16
#99ATP
1808ELO
1731Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#10ATP
1920ELO
1852Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-4 in the Astana round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #10. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Hubert Hurkacz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1731
Surface ELO
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1808
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1920
5.4
H2H
4.6
6.2
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
5.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Hurkacz H.
662
Bublik A.
440

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamR32hardAlexander Bublik6-7(2) 7-6(1) 7-5
2023-08-07Canada MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-6(2)
2023-02-20MarseilleSFhardHubert Hurkacz6-4 7-6(4)
2023-01-02United CupRRhardHubert Hurkacz7-6(8) 4-6 6-3
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-1
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4 6-2
2020-02-24DubaiR32hardAlexander Bublik6-2 7-5

Statistics

Recent form
61%1st serve in+3%64%
76%1st serve points won+1%75%
52%2nd serve points won52%
67%Service points won67%
35%Return points won+1%34%
66%Break points saved+1%65%
11.4Aces / match+1.69.8
1.7Double faults / match+1.53.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.