Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine PaoliniRiyadh Finals Round Robin

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025 ·
hard
#21WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLL
Pegula J.
6-2 6-3
Paolini J.
Pegula J.
662
Paolini J.
230

Jessica Pegula defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-3 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round-robin. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-06WTA FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-0
2022-04-04CharlestonR32clayJessica Pegula6-2 6-1
2021-10-06Indian WellsR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
77
Break points saved·Dominant
86
46
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Even
91
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
85

Pegula J.: played today · 4 matches, 89 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw