Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine PaoliniRiyadh Finals Round Robin

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025 ·
hard
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Pegula J.
6-2 6-3
Paolini J.
Pegula J.
662
Paolini J.
230

Jessica Pegula defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-3 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round-robin. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-0
2022-04-04CharlestonR32clayJessica Pegula6-2 6-1
2021-10-06Indian WellsR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
69
Break points saved·Dominant
76
20
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
93
Tiebreaks·Even
81
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Pegula J.: 16 days rest · Paolini J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw