Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini — Riyadh Finals Round Robin

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Round Robin
USA
Jessica Pegula
[5]
#5WTA
2103ELO
2061Hard ELO
$2.6MYTD
$24MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025
hard
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
[8]
#13WTA
1930ELO
1885Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL

Jessica Pegula defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-3 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round-robin. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pegula J.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Paolini J.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+176 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1885
7.1Overall Elo 2103
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1930
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.3
Surface form
6.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Pegula J.
662
Paolini J.
230

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-0
2022-04-04CharlestonR32clayJessica Pegula6-2 6-1
2021-10-06Indian WellsR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Pegula J.Paolini J.
64%1st serve in+2%66%
71%1st serve points won+12%59%
52%2nd serve points won+3%49%
64%Service points won+8%56%
44%Return points won+2%42%
64%Break points saved+6%58%
5Aces / match+2.92.1
1.8Double faults / match+0.31.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-37-60
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[6]
Pegula J.[5]
4-66-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-33-66-3
Round Robin
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pegula J.[5]
6-42-66-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Alexandrova E.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Paolini J.[8]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Swiatek I.[2]
3-66-16-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[7]
6-16-2
Anisimova A.[4]
Keys M.[7]
4-66-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
7-656-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-36-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[8]
6-36-1
Pegula J.[5]
Gauff C.[3]
6-36-746-2
Pegula J.[5]
Paolini J.[8]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-736-46-2