Elena Rybakina vs Victoria MbokoTokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · WTA · Quarter-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#12WTA
2006ELO
2006Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
Rybakina E.
6-3 7-6
Mboko V.
Rybakina E.
6772
Mboko V.
3640

Elena Rybakina defeated Victoria Mboko 6-3 7-6 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaQFhardVictoria Mboko7-5 4-6 6-4
2025-07-27MontrealSFhardVictoria Mboko1-6 7-5 7-6(4)
2025-07-21WashingtonR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mboko V.

Mboko V.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Mboko V.
100
Serve
58
34
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
97
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+104 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 2006
6.7Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 2006
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.4
Surface form
5.8
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
8.1
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%