Yoshihito Nishioka vs Andrey Rublev — Shanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Yoshihito Nishioka
JPN
Yoshihito Nishioka
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
Andrey Rublev
RUS13
Andrey Rublev
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Nishioka Y.
2-6 6-1 6-4
Rublev A.
Nishioka Y.
2662
Rublev A.
6141

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Andrey Rublev 2-6 6-1 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 64. Yoshihito Nishioka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-3
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev6-2 7-5
2022-08-01WashingtonSFhardYoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-4
2021-02-02Atp CupRRhardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-3
2019-01-07SydneyR16hardYoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Rublev A.
—
Serve
55
—
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Nishioka Y.Rublev A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nishioka Y.Rublev A.
Clutch Rating·Even
84
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
100
Break points won·Clear edge
59
72
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nishioka Y.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Rublev A.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
7.3+189 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1689
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
0.7
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nishioka Y.Rublev A.
Freshness·
—
100

Rublev A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
4-66-36-3
Semi-finals
Vacherot V.
Djokovic N.[4]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.
Medvedev D.[16]
4-66-26-4
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[16]
De Minaur A.[7]
6-46-4
Vacherot V.
Rune H.[10]
2-67-646-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Bergs Z.
6-37-5
Rinderknech A.
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
6-36-4
R16
Vacherot V.
Griekspoor T.[27]
4-67-616-4
Rune H.[10]
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
6-46-776-3
Bergs Z.
Diallo G.[31]
3-67-57-68
Rinderknech A.
Lehecka J.[15]
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Musetti L.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Munar J.
6-35-76-2
De Minaur A.[7]
Borges N.
7-56-2
Medvedev D.[16]
Tien L.
7-666-716-4
R32
Diallo G.[31]
Goffin D.
3-0
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
Fritz T.[5]
6-47-5
Griekspoor T.[27]
Sinner J.[2]
6-737-53-2
Vacherot V.
Machac T.[20]
6-03-1
Djokovic N.[4]
Hanfmann Y.
4-67-56-3
Lehecka J.[15]
Shapovalov D.[23]
6-46-4
Bergs Z.
Cerundolo F.[19]
7-616-3
Borges N.
Shang J.
7-654-66-3
Munar J.
Nishioka Y.
6-45-76-1
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
De Jong J.
6-47-5
Rinderknech A.
Zverev A.[3]
4-66-36-2
Tien L.
Norrie C.[30]
7-646-3
Rune H.[10]
Humbert U.[21]
6-46-4
Musetti L.[8]
Darderi L.[26]
7-57-61
Medvedev D.[16]
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
6-37-65
De Minaur A.[7]
Majchrzak K.
6-17-5
R64
Bergs Z.
Ruud C.[11]
3-67-54-1
Cerundolo F.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-637-64
Darderi L.[26]
Yunchaokete B.
6-46-4
Nishioka Y.
Rublev A.[13]
2-66-16-4
Fritz T.[5]
Marozsan F.
2-67-647-61
Djokovic N.[4]
Cilic M.
7-626-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Brooksby J.
6-11-66-1
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Tabilo A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.[23]
Oconnell C.
6-36-2
Shang J.
Khachanov K.[9]
7-636-3
Diallo G.[31]
Bonzi B.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Vukic A.
7-676-4
Vacherot V.
Bublik A.[14]
3-66-36-4
Hanfmann Y.
Tiafoe F.[25]
6-796-26-1
Sinner J.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
Nardi L.
6-37-64
Majchrzak K.
Nakashima B.[29]
6-46-0
Lehecka J.[15]
Halys Q.
6-47-5
Rune H.[10]
Baez S.
7-56-4
Rinderknech A.
Michelsen A.[28]
6-36-4
De Jong J.
Mensik J.[17]
4-67-626-4
Medvedev D.[16]
Svrcina D.
6-16-1
Tien L.
Moutet C.
4-66-46-4
Humbert U.[21]
Thompson J.
6-37-64
Machac T.[20]
Bellucci M.
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[7]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-2
Norrie C.[30]
Cazaux A.
6-30-67-65
Musetti L.[8]
Comesana F.
6-46-0
Goffin D.
Shelton B.[6]
6-26-4
Munar J.
Cobolli F.[22]
7-56-1
Zverev A.[3]
Royer V.
6-46-4
R128
Bonzi B.
Opelka R.
7-626-4
Svrcina D.
Wu Y.
7-50-0
Rinderknech A.
Medjedovic H.
6-731-0
Borges N.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Vacherot V.
Djere L.
6-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Atmane T.
4-4
De Jong J.
Zhou Y.
6-716-27-63
Mannarino A.
Berrettini M.
7-57-65
Baez S.
Zhang Z.
2-66-36-4
Yunchaokete B.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-756-3
Shang J.
Kovacevic A.
6-43-66-3
Royer V.
Navone M.
3-66-46-4
Goffin D.
Muller A.
6-766-16-1
Tien L.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-4
Cazaux A.
Martinez P.
6-33-67-5
Hanfmann Y.
Sonego L.
2-66-36-1
Oconnell C.
Dzumhur D.
6-26-4
Cilic M.
Basilashvili N.
6-37-65
Thompson J.
Holmgren A.
4-66-36-4
Marozsan F.
Wawrinka S.
6-14-66-4
Munar J.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-56-1
Bellucci M.
Walton A.
7-666-1
Tabilo A.
Giron M.
6-46-3
Halys Q.
Mcdonald M.
6-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Quinn E.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Sakamoto R.
7-636-4
Nishioka Y.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-2
Altmaier D.
Schoolkate T.
6-36-4
Comesana F.
Blanchet U.
6-46-2
Brooksby J.
Trotter J.
7-626-1
Nardi L.
Ofner S.
3-66-36-2
Bergs Z.
Korda S.
6-47-5