Andrey Rublev vs Yoshihito NishiokaParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
Rublev A.
6-4 6-3
Nishioka Y.
Rublev A.
662
Nishioka Y.
430

Andrey Rublev defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 6-4 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, defending last year's round of 16. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardYoshihito Nishioka2-6 6-1 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev6-2 7-5
2022-08-01WashingtonSFhardYoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-4
2021-02-02Atp CupRRhardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-3
2019-01-07SydneyR16hardYoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Nishioka Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Nishioka Y.
55
Serve
52
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 142). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
95
Break points won·Clear edge
72
59
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+189 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1659
7.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1689
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.9
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.8
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%