Yoshihito Nishioka vs Andrey RublevWashington Semi-final

Washington · ATP · Semi-final
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 August 2022
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Nishioka Y.
6-3 6-4
Rublev A.
Nishioka Y.
662
Rublev A.
340

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Andrey Rublev 6-3 6-4 in the Washington semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Yoshihito Nishioka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardYoshihito Nishioka2-6 6-1 6-4
2023-10-30Paris MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-3
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev6-2 7-5
2021-02-02Atp CupRRhardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-3
2019-01-07SydneyR16hardYoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Rublev A.
Serve
55
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
100
Break points won·Clear edge
59
72
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
7.3+189 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1689
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.5
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.7
Country comfort
5.7
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 65%