Naomi Osaka vs Daria Kasatkina — US Open Round of 32

US Open · WTA · Round of 32
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Osaka N.
6-0 4-6 6-3
Kasatkina D.
Osaka N.
6462
Kasatkina D.
0631

Naomi Osaka defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-0 4-6 6-3 in the US Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Naomi Osaka extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-03WimbledonR32grassNaomi Osaka1-6 3-6
2024-05-06RomeR32clayNaomi Osaka6-3 6-3
2018-03-05Indian WellsFhardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Kasatkina D.
70
Serve
0
60
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Osaka N.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Osaka N.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
80
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Osaka N.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Slight edge
79
89

Osaka N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.
Anisimova A.
6-37-63
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.
Osaka N.
6-747-636-3
Sabalenka A.
Pegula J.
4-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.
Vondrousova M.
W/O
Anisimova A.
Swiatek I.
6-46-3
Pegula J.
Krejcikova B.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
6-47-63
R16
Osaka N.
Gauff C.
6-36-2
Pegula J.
Li A.
6-16-2
Muchova K.
Kostyuk M.
6-36-706-3
Vondrousova M.
Rybakina E.
6-45-76-2
Sabalenka A.
Bucsa C.
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.
Townsend T.
1-67-6136-3
Swiatek I.
Alexandrova E.
6-36-1
Anisimova A.
Haddad Maia B.
6-06-3
R32
Li A.
Hon P.
7-56-3
Bucsa C.
Mertens E.
3-67-56-3
Alexandrova E.
Siegemund L.
6-06-1
Sabalenka A.
Fernandez L.
6-37-62
Pegula J.
Azarenka V.
6-17-5
Townsend T.
Andreeva M.
7-56-2
Vondrousova M.
Paolini J.
7-646-1
Anisimova A.
Cristian J.
6-44-66-2
Swiatek I.
Kalinskaya A.
7-626-4
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.
6-04-66-3
Haddad Maia B.
Sakkari M.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Gauff C.
Frech M.
6-36-1
Kostyuk M.
Parry D.
3-66-46-2
Muchova K.
Noskova L.
6-756-46-2
Krejcikova B.
Navarro E.
4-66-46-4
R64
Noskova L.
Lys E.
6-43-0
Paolini J.
Jovic I.
6-36-3
Parry D.
Zarazua R.
6-22-67-67
Mertens E.
Sun L.
6-26-3
Anisimova A.
Joint M.
7-626-2
Andreeva M.
Potapova A.
6-16-3
Pegula J.
Blinkova A.
6-16-3
Muchova K.
Cirstea S.
7-606-736-4
Kasatkina D.
Rakhimova K.
6-24-67-5
Osaka N.
Baptiste H.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.
Lamens S.
6-14-66-4
Frech M.
Stearns P.
6-766-36-2
Gauff C.
Vekic D.
7-656-2
Bucsa C.
Eala A.
6-46-3
Cristian J.
Krueger A.
4-66-26-2
Hon P.
Samsonova L.
4-66-36-2
Sakkari M.
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Fernandez L.
Jacquemot E.
2-66-36-2
Sabalenka A.
Kudermetova P.
7-646-2
Haddad Maia B.
Golubic V.
6-16-4
Navarro E.
Mcnally C.
6-26-1
Azarenka V.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-3
Kalinskaya A.
Putintseva Y.
6-17-5
Rybakina E.
Valentova T.
6-37-67
Raducanu E.
Tjen J.
6-26-1
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.
7-676-2
Siegemund L.
Zakharova A.
6-46-2
Alexandrova E.
Wang X.
6-26-2
Li A.
Bencic B.
6-36-3
Krejcikova B.
Uchijima M.
6-46-2
Townsend T.
Ostapenko J.
7-56-1
Kostyuk M.
Sonmez Z.
7-56-756-3
R128
Kudermetova P.
Parrizas Diaz N.
2-2
Swiatek I.
Arango E.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Uchijima M.
Danilovic O.
7-624-67-69
Ostapenko J.
Wang X.
6-46-3
Townsend T.
Ruzic A.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Sabalenka A.
Masarova R.
7-56-1
Jacquemot E.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-3
Fernandez L.
Marino R.
6-26-1
Sun L.
Osorio C.
6-42-66-0
Bucsa C.
Liu C.
6-26-1
Eala A.
Tauson C.
6-32-67-611
Rybakina E.
Pareja J.
6-36-0
Valentova T.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-4
Raducanu E.
Shibahara E.
6-16-2
Tjen J.
Kudermetova V.
6-44-66-4
Kessler M.
Linette M.
7-57-5
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-37-63
Li A.
Sramkova R.
4-66-26-4
Jovic I.
Sasnovich A.
7-666-3
Paolini J.
Aiava D.
6-27-64
Hon P.
Jeanjean L.
6-37-5
Pegula J.
Sherif M.
6-06-4
Samsonova L.
Yuan Y.
2-66-46-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Yastremska D.
6-757-656-4
Azarenka V.
Inoue H.
7-606-4
Navarro E.
Wang Y.
7-696-3
Lamens S.
Glozman V.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Zhu L.
6-44-66-2
Putintseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
6-47-64
Siegemund L.
Shnaider D.
7-632-66-3
Zakharova A.
Avanesyan E.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Dolehide C.
2-66-46-2
Alexandrova E.
Sevastova A.
6-46-1
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.
6-26-4
Sakkari M.
Maria T.
6-36-2
Haddad Maia B.
Kartal S.
6-31-66-1
Krueger A.
Kenin S.
5-76-46-2
Gauff C.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-727-5
Vekic D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-3
Baptiste H.
Siniakova K.
7-56-3
Rakhimova K.
Garcia C.
6-44-66-3
Stearns P.
Semenistaja D.
7-56-0
Frech M.
Gibson T.
6-26-2
Parry D.
Kvitova P.
6-16-0
Sonmez Z.
Volynets K.
6-36-4
Osaka N.
Minnen G.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Noskova L.
Galfi D.
6-47-5
Lys E.
Jones F.
6-07-5
Cirstea S.
Sierra S.
7-56-0
Bencic B.
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Mertens E.
Ahn A.
6-16-0
Kasatkina D.
Ruse E.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.
Mboko V.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.
Parks A.
6-06-1
Zarazua R.
Keys M.
6-7107-637-5
Muchova K.
Williams V.
6-32-66-1
Anisimova A.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-47-66
Cristian J.
Collins D.
6-26-0
Golubic V.
Boisson L.
3-67-636-2
Kalinskaya A.
Ngounoue C.
6-05-76-4