Naomi Osaka vs Daria KasatkinaIndian Wells Final

Indian Wells · WTA · Final
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 March 2018
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Osaka N.
6-3 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Osaka N.
662
Kasatkina D.
320

Naomi Osaka defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells final on hard. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Naomi Osaka extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-03WimbledonR32grassNaomi Osaka1-6 3-6
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardNaomi Osaka6-0 4-6 6-3
2024-05-06RomeR32clayNaomi Osaka6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Kasatkina D.
70
Serve
0
60
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
70%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
74%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (196 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
80
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
92

Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw

Final
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.[20]
6-36-2