Elena Rybakina vs Magdalena FrechWashington Quarter-final

Washington · WTA · Quarter-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#44WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$659kYTD
$4.8MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWL
Rybakina E.
6-3 6-3
Frech M.
Rybakina E.
662
Frech M.
330

Elena Rybakina defeated Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-3 in the Washington quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19DubaiR16hardElena Rybakina7-6(5) 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Frech M.

Frech M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Frech M.
100
Serve
32
34
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 57). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
76
Break points won·Dominant
96
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+410 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1700
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1725
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
2.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Country comfort
3.8
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
98

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Frech M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%