Elena Rybakina vs Magdalena FrechDubai Round of 16

Dubai · WTA · Round of 16
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#44WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$659kYTD
$4.8MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWL
Rybakina E.
7-6 3-6 6-4
Frech M.
Rybakina E.
77362
Frech M.
65641

Elena Rybakina defeated Magdalena Frech 7-6 3-6 6-4 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonQFhardElena Rybakina6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Frech M.

Frech M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Frech M.
100
Serve
32
34
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
76
Break points won·Dominant
96
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+410 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1700
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1725
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
6.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.1
Minutes 14d
8.5
0.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.5
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
98

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Frech M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 29 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw