Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
Alex De Minaur
AUS5
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1834Grass ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
Roberto Carballes Baena
ESP
Roberto Carballes Baena
#163ATP
1632ELO
1506Grass ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
De Minaur A.
6-2 6-2 7-6
Carballes Baena R.
De Minaur A.
66773
Carballes Baena R.
22620

Alex De Minaur defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 6-2 7-6 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14AntwerpR16hardAlex De Minaur2-6 6-4 6-2
2024-05-06Rome MastersR64clayAlex De Minaur6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Carballes Baena R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Carballes Baena R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
97
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Carballes Baena R.
2.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 54 days (−1.0)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
9.1+328 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Grass Elo 1506
9.5Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1632
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
3.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
5.6
Country comfort
Surface transition
3.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Carballes Baena R.
Freshness·Dominant
73
100

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Carballes Baena R.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Alcaraz C.[2]
4-66-46-46-4
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fritz T.[6]
6-45-76-37-66
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[7]
6-36-36-4
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[6]
Khachanov K.[19]
6-36-41-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Cobolli F.[9]
6-766-27-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Norrie C.[26]
6-26-36-3
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[4]
7-626-46-4
R16
Cobolli F.[9]
Cilic M.
6-46-46-747-63
Norrie C.[26]
Jarry N.
6-37-646-776-756-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Rublev A.[12]
6-756-36-46-4
Khachanov K.[19]
Majchrzak K.
6-46-26-3
Djokovic N.[7]
De Minaur A.[5]
1-66-46-46-4
Shelton B.[4]
Sonego L.
3-66-17-617-5
Sinner J.[1]
Dimitrov G.
3-65-72-2
Fritz T.[6]
Thompson J.
6-13-0
R32
Sinner J.[1]
Martinez P.[19]
6-16-36-1
De Minaur A.[5]
Holmgren A.[24]
6-47-656-3
Norrie C.[26]
Bellucci M.
7-656-46-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Borges N.
7-664-64-66-37-68
Fritz T.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
6-46-36-756-1
Dimitrov G.
Ofner S.
6-36-47-60
Thompson J.
Darderi L.[14]
6-46-43-66-3
Shelton B.[4]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-646-2
Sonego L.
Nakashima B.[28]
6-757-687-623-67-63
Majchrzak K.
Rinderknech A.[25]
6-37-647-66
Jarry N.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-36-43-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Kecmanovic M.
6-36-06-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Struff J.
6-13-66-36-4
Cilic M.
Munar J.
6-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[12]
Mannarino A.
7-56-26-3
Cobolli F.[9]
Mensik J.[15]
6-26-46-2
R64
Holmgren A.[24]
Machac T.[21]
7-656-786-757-57-65
Sonego L.
Basilashvili N.[6]
6-16-36-737-64
Martinez P.[19]
Navone M.
7-57-57-66
Alcaraz C.[2]
Tarvet O.
6-16-46-4
Khachanov K.[19]
Mochizuki S.
1-67-674-66-36-4
Borges N.
Harris B.
6-36-47-67
Shelton B.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-27-56-4
Bellucci M.
Lehecka J.[13]
7-646-17-5
Djokovic N.[7]
Evans D.
6-36-26-0
Rublev A.[12]
Harris L.
6-716-47-656-3
Rinderknech A.[25]
Garin C.
3-66-37-634-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-14-66-37-65
Struff J.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
3-67-696-36-4
Norrie C.[26]
Tiafoe F.[17]
4-66-46-37-5
Darderi L.[14]
Fery A.
6-46-36-3
Jarry N.
Tien L.[16]
6-26-26-3
Ofner S.
Paul T.[21]
1-67-56-47-5
Cobolli F.[9]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-17-666-2
Nakashima B.[28]
Opelka R.
7-56-26-766-3
Fucsovics M.
Monfils G.
6-41-64-67-656-4
Cilic M.
Draper J.[4]
6-46-31-66-4
Mannarino A.
Royer V.
6-46-45-77-61
Thompson J.
Bonzi B.
7-56-724-66-26-4
Munar J.
Marozsan F.
6-26-37-69
Kecmanovic M.
De Jong J.
1-66-36-26-4
Sinner J.[1]
Vukic A.
6-16-16-3
Fritz T.[6]
Diallo G.
3-66-37-604-66-3
De Minaur A.[5]
Cazaux A.
4-66-26-46-0
Majchrzak K.
Quinn E.
6-16-46-3
Fonseca J.[24]
Brooksby J.
6-45-76-26-4
Mensik J.[15]
Giron M.
6-43-66-47-64
Dimitrov G.
Moutet C.
7-54-67-57-5
R128
Basilashvili N.[6]
Musetti L.[7]
6-24-67-56-1
Moutet C.
Comesana F.[1]
6-46-46-2
Martinez P.[19]
Loffhagen G.
2-66-26-46-2
Holmgren A.[24]
Halys Q.
7-646-36-4
Quinn E.
Searle H.
4-66-27-6116-2
Tarvet O.
Riedi L.
6-46-46-4
Harris B.
Lajovic D.
6-36-26-4
Sonego L.
Faria J.
6-36-46-2
Mensik J.[15]
Gaston H.
6-14-66-26-2
Darderi L.[14]
Safiullin R.
7-631-66-726-36-1
Khachanov K.[19]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-46-4
Mochizuki S.
Zeppieri G.
2-63-66-37-667-5
Nakashima B.[28]
Yunchaokete B.[3]
6-44-67-616-4
Paul T.[21]
Monday J.
6-46-46-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Muller A.
6-16-776-26-2
Tiafoe F.[17]
Moller E.
6-36-46-2
Tien L.[16]
Basavareddy N.
7-656-36-2
Bonzi B.
Medvedev D.[8]
7-623-67-636-2
Shelton B.[4]
Bolt A.
6-47-617-64
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Duckworth J.
6-23-66-726-46-4
Rinderknech A.[25]
Zverev A.[2]
7-636-786-36-756-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Arnaldi M.[32]
7-647-656-4
Rublev A.[12]
Djere L.
6-07-656-797-66
Borges N.
Cerundolo F.[18]
4-66-37-656-0
Monfils G.
Humbert U.[27]
6-43-66-757-56-2
Pinnington Jones J.
Etcheverry T.[29]
7-646-37-5
Norrie C.[26]
Bautista Agut R.
6-33-66-47-63
De Minaur A.[5]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-27-62
Lehecka J.[13]
Dellien H.
4-66-26-27-60
Dimitrov G.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-36-4
Fery A.
Popyrin A.[20]
6-46-14-66-4
Fonseca J.[24]
Fearnley J.
6-46-17-65
Cobolli F.[9]
Zhukayev B.
6-37-676-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Holt B.
6-26-47-5
Ofner S.
Medjedovic H.
7-683-1
Draper J.[4]
Baez S.
6-26-22-1
Royer V.
Tsitsipas S.[24]
6-36-2
Harris L.
Bergs Z.
7-677-626-756-2
Opelka R.
Shevchenko A.
6-37-57-64
Giron M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-667-646-3
De Jong J.
Eubanks C.
6-36-756-776-37-63
Diallo G.
Altmaier D.
6-16-26-4
Munar J.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-64-67-656-2
Garin C.
Rodesch C.
7-686-46-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fognini F.
7-56-757-52-66-1
Struff J.
Misolic F.
6-25-76-36-3
Jarry N.
Rune H.[8]
4-64-67-56-36-4
Hijikata R.
Goffin D.
6-36-16-1
Machac T.[21]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-756-15-76-4
Navone M.
Shapovalov D.[27]
3-66-46-16-4
Brooksby J.
Griekspoor T.[31]
6-27-56-3
Cazaux A.
Walton A.
6-37-664-66-756-1
Sinner J.[1]
Nardi L.
6-46-36-0
Majchrzak K.
Berrettini M.[32]
4-66-26-45-76-3
Thompson J.
Kopriva V.
3-64-66-37-616-1
Evans D.
Clarke J.
6-17-56-2
Vukic A.
Tseng C.
6-36-44-67-65
Marozsan F.
Mccabe J.
6-16-46-3
Bellucci M.
Crawford O.
6-726-36-46-4
Mannarino A.
Oconnell C.
6-26-46-3
Kecmanovic M.
Michelsen A.[30]
6-23-66-33-67-66
Cilic M.
Collignon R.
6-36-46-3
Fritz T.[6]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-766-786-47-666-4