Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes BaenaRome Masters Round of 64

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#163ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
De Minaur A.
6-3 6-2
Carballes Baena R.
De Minaur A.
662
Carballes Baena R.
320

Alex De Minaur defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 6-2 in the Rome Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassAlex De Minaur6-2 6-2 7-6(2)
2024-10-14AntwerpR16hardAlex De Minaur2-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Minaur A.Carballes Baena R.
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 135). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
97
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+257 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1612
9.5Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1632
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
6.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
100

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%