Jasmine Paolini vs Leylah FernandezBad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16
#17WTA
1905ELO
1748Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#24WTA
1805ELO
1661Grass ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Paolini J.
7-6 7-6
Fernandez L.
Paolini J.
710782
Fernandez L.
68660

Jasmine Paolini defeated Leylah Fernandez 7-6 7-6 in the Bad Homburg round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19DubaiR32hardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-4
2023-11-07BJK Cup FinalsFhardLeylah Fernandez6-2 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiR64hardLeylah Fernandez6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
95
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+87 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1661
5.8Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
98

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%