Coco Gauff vs Madison KeysRoland Garros Quarter-final

Roland Garros · WTA · Quarter-final
#7WTA
2071ELO
2018Clay ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Gauff C.
6-7 6-4 6-1
Keys M.
Gauff C.
66662
Keys M.
78411

Coco Gauff defeated Madison Keys 6-7 6-4 6-1 in the Roland Garros quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #7, defending last year's semi-final. Coco Gauff narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22MadridR16clayMadison Keys7-6(4) 4-6 6-4
2023-06-26EastbourneSFgrassMadison Keys6-3 6-3
2023-02-20DubaiQFhardCoco Gauff6-2 7-5
2022-08-29US OpenR32hardCoco Gauff6-2 6-3
2022-01-10Adelaide 2SFhardMadison Keys3-6 6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
99
94
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+125 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1894
6.6Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1987
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.9
Surface form
6.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.1
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
60
82

Gauff C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1