Madison Keys vs Coco GauffAdelaide 2 Semi-final

Adelaide 2 · WTA · Semi-final
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 January 2022
hard
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Keys M.
3-6 6-2 7-5
Gauff C.
Keys M.
3672
Gauff C.
6251

Madison Keys defeated Coco Gauff 3-6 6-2 7-5 in the Adelaide 2 semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayCoco Gauff6-7(6) 6-4 6-1
2024-04-22MadridR16clayMadison Keys7-6(4) 4-6 6-4
2023-06-26EastbourneSFgrassMadison Keys6-3 6-3
2023-02-20DubaiQFhardCoco Gauff6-2 7-5
2022-08-29US OpenR32hardCoco Gauff6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Gauff C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Gauff C.
36
Serve
25
29
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
99
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Slight edge
90
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1920
Surface ELO
6.7+115 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 2071
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.5
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
65

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast